Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.401319 0.438704 0.479140 0.526319 0.580096 0.639771 0.711400
2025-08-10 0.328205 0.377748 0.435340 0.508004 0.598351 0.708506 0.855384
2025-08-17 0.286884 0.341745 0.408718 0.498002 0.616298 0.771268 0.996076
2025-08-24 0.258410 0.315927 0.388820 0.490288 0.631805 0.828654 1.135935
2025-08-31 0.236579 0.295364 0.372172 0.483005 0.644494 0.881245 1.276265
2025-09-07 0.223195 0.284116 0.366018 0.488314 0.674244 0.961503 1.474914
2025-09-14 0.207562 0.268222 0.351609 0.479553 0.680873 1.005716 1.621479
2025-09-21 0.196371 0.257427 0.343174 0.478260 0.698177 1.068958 1.816237
2025-09-28 0.183113 0.242667 0.327675 0.464352 0.692859 1.091844 1.937398
2025-10-05 0.179463 0.241369 0.331725 0.481159 0.740528 1.216772 2.304133
2025-10-12 0.174850 0.238248 0.332629 0.492734 0.780320 1.333888 2.692780
2025-10-19 0.168627 0.232258 0.328559 0.495450 0.804151 1.423377 3.046396
2025-10-26 0.158902 0.220633 0.315219 0.481815 0.796988 1.449887 3.253778
2025-11-02 0.149617 0.209247 0.301637 0.466777 0.785716 1.466539 3.444732
2025-11-09 0.142398 0.200685 0.292068 0.458010 0.785756 1.508876 3.733063
2025-11-16 0.136155 0.193314 0.283967 0.451145 0.788732 1.558710 4.070649
2025-11-23 0.130477 0.186544 0.276433 0.444647 0.791609 1.608950 4.437351
2025-11-30 0.127238 0.183515 0.274984 0.449386 0.819112 1.727887 5.135509
2025-12-07 0.122070 0.177087 0.267330 0.441564 0.817870 1.770357 5.552560
2025-12-14 0.118363 0.172884 0.263275 0.440409 0.831582 1.857610 6.235271
2025-12-21 0.113092 0.165857 0.253900 0.427979 0.817623 1.862276 6.526632
2025-12-28 0.112432 0.166480 0.258046 0.442998 0.870708 2.080979 8.152152
2026-01-04 0.111062 0.165824 0.259837 0.453330 0.914000 2.283456 9.971845